Impact of The Covid-19 Pandemic On Egg Market Integration And Price Transmission In Indonesia

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.37638/bima.6.2.1297-1312

Keywords:

COVID-19, market integration, price transmission, egg, Indonesia

Abstract

Purpose: This study aims to examine the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the egg market by analyzing changes in market integration and price transmission across major producing and consuming regions in Indonesia. Methodology: The research employs a quantitative empirical approach using secondary time-series data on egg prices from eight provinces, covering pre-pandemic (July 2017–February 2020) and pandemic (March 2020–August 2021) periods. Econometric analyses were conducted using the Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test, Johansen cointegration method, and Variance Decomposition within a Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) framework to assess market integration and price transmission dynamics. Results: The findings indicate a significant decline in market integration during the COVID-19 pandemic compared to the pre-pandemic period, reflecting weaker inter-market linkages. Price transmission among regional markets also decreased, suggesting reduced efficiency in transmitting price signals during the crisis. Novelty: This study provides a comparative econometric assessment of market behavior before and during a major global health crisis. Findings: The COVID-19 pandemic disrupted the stability and efficiency of the egg market, affecting both market connectivity and price responsiveness. Originality: The originality of this research lies in its multi-regional time-series analysis focusing on essential food commodities during a pandemic context. Conclusions: Strengthening market coordination and supply chain resilience is crucial to maintaining price stability and food accessibility during future crises. Type of Paper: Empirical Quantitative Study.

References

Abay, K. A., Abdelfattah, L., Breisinger, C., & Siddig, K. (2023). Evaluating cereal market (dis)integration in less developed and fragile markets: The case of Sudan. Food Policy, 114. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foodpol.2022.102399

Adenegan, K. O., Bamidele, J. A., & Nwauwa, L. O. E. (2016). Spatial price linkages of Brown Cowpea ( Vigna unguiculata ) in Nigerian national markets. Review of Market Integration, 8(1–2), 65–78. https://doi.org/10.1177/0974929216687885

Ahmed, M., Singla, N., & Singh, K. (2022). Market integration and price transmission in wheat markets of India: a transaction cost approach. Journal of Agribusiness in Developing and Emerging Economies. https://doi.org/10.1108/JADEE-06-2022-0123

Akbar, Darma, R., Mujahidin, I., & Irawan, A. (2022). The impact of the COVID-19‘s economic recession on food security in Indonesia. IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science, 1012(1), 1–8. https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/1012/1/012005

Akber, N., & Paltasingh, K. R. (2022). COVID-19 lockdown and prices of essential food items in India: examining law of one price. Journal of Agribusiness in Developing and Emerging Economies, 12(3), 510–530. https://doi.org/10.1108/JADEE-12-2021-0316

Akhter, S. (2017). Market integration between surplus and deficit rice markets during global food crisis period. Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 61(1), 172–188. https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-8489.12150

Alam, M. J., McKenzie, A. M., Begum, I. A., Buysse, J., Wailes, E. J., Sarkar, M. A. R., Al Mamun, A., & Van Huylenbroeck, G. (2022). Spatial market integration of rice in Bangladesh in the presence of transaction cost. Agricultural and Food Economics, 10(1). https://doi.org/10.1186/s40100-022-00228-5

Baquedano, F. G., & Liefert, W. M. (2014). Market integration and price transmission in consumer markets of developing countries. Food Policy, 44, 103–114. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foodpol.2013.11.001

Beag, F. A., & Singla, N. (2014). Cointegration, causality and impulse response analysis in major apple markets of India. Agricultural Economics Research Review, 27(2), 289. https://doi.org/10.5958/0974-0279.2014.00032.9

Central Bureau of Statistics. (2021). Berita Resmi Statistik Hasil Sensus Penduduk 2020. https://www.bps.go.id/indicator/12/1886/1/jumlah-penduduk-hasil-proyeksi-menurut-provinsi-dan-jenis-kelamin.html

Chitete, M., Mgomezulu, W., Bwanaisa, M., & Dzanja, J. (2021). Analysis of intra-region market integration and spatial price transmission in groundnut markets in Malawi. Agrekon, 60(3), 280–296. https://doi.org/10.1080/03031853.2021.1937246

Dickey, D. A., & Fuller, W. A. (1981). Likelihood ratio statistics for autoregressive time series with a unit root. Econometrica, 49(4), 1057–1072.

Dietrich, S., Giuffrida, V., Martorano, B., & Schmerzeck, G. (2022). COVID-19 policy responses, mobility, and food prices. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 104(2), 569–588. https://doi.org/10.1111/ajae.12278

Directorate General of Livestock and Animal Health Service. (2021). Livestock and animal health statistics 2021. Directorate General of Livestock and Animal Health Service . https://pusvetma.ditjenpkh.pertanian.go.id/upload/statistik/1644549920.Buku_Statistik_2021.pdf

Faminow, M. D., & Benson, B. L. (1990). Integration of spatial markets. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 72(1), 49–62. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.2307/1243144

Ghosh, M. (2010). Spatial price linkages in regional food grain markets in India. Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research, 4(4), 495–516. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1177/097380101000400405

Hamulczuk, M., & Skrzypczyk, M. (2021). COVID-19, spatial market integration and producer prices: A case study of EU agri-food markets. Studies in Agricultural Economics, 123(2), 53–61. https://doi.org/http://doi.org/10.7896/j.2137

Hossain, M. I., Papadopoulou, E., Esmat, M., & Begum, A. (2011). Cointegration analysis of rural wheat markets in Northern Bangladesh. Journal of International Logistics and Trade , 9(2), 77–97.

Hossain, M. I., & Verbeke, W. (2010). Evaluation of rice markets integration in Bangladesh. The Lahore Journal of Economics, 15(2), 77–96. https://lje.org.pk/storage/images/1624889743.pdf

Irawan, A. (2009). Indonesia export, import, and demand for domestic commodities under economics liberalisation. Economic Journal of Emerging Markets, 1(2), 77–146.

Irawan, A., & Alamsyah, H. (2021). The COVID-19’s economic crisis and its solutions: a literature review. Etikonomi, 20(1), 77–92. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.15408/etk.v20i1.16870

Irawan, A., Anjela, T. N., Melli Suryanty, S. N., & Yuristia, R. (2023). Impact of COVID-19’s supply and demand shocks on the household economy of tilapia smallholder farmer. International Journal of Social Economics. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1108/IJSE-08-2022-0554

Irawan, A., Saefudin, Suryanty, M., & Yuliarso, M. Z. (2022). Impact of COVID-19 pandemic on the economy of oil palm smallholder ’s household income. Journal of Agribusiness in Developing and Emerging Economie, 12(3), 425–441. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1108/JADEE-09-2021-0237

Jamhari, J., Wirakusuma, G., Nugroho, A. D., & Lakner, Z. (2021). Regional market integration, COVID-19, and agricultural trade performance in Southeast Asia. Bulgarian Journal of Agricultural Science, 27(6), 1051–1064.

Johansen, S. (1988). Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 12, 231–254.

Johansen, S., & Juselius, K. (1990). Maximum likelihood estimation and inference on cointegration - with applications to the demand for money. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 52(2), 169–210.

Masih, M., Al-Elg, A., & Madani, H. (2009). Causality between financial development and economic growth: An application of vector error correction and variance decomposition methods to Saudi Arabia. Applied Economics, 41(13), 1691–1699. https://doi.org/http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/00036840701320233

Paul, U. K., Das, G., Debnath, A., & Mathur, T. (2016). Market integration and price leadership in India’s onion market. Review of Market Integration, 8(1 & 2), 49–64. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1177/0974929216687881

Ramsey, A. F., Goodwin, B. K., Hahn, W. F., & Holt, M. T. (2021). Impacts of COVID-19 and price transmission in U.S. meat markets. Agricultural Economics , 52(3), 441–458. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1111/agec.12628

Roman, M., & Kroupová, Z. Ž. (2022). Spatial market integration: a case study of the Polish–Czech milk market. Economies, 10(1). https://doi.org/10.3390/economies10010025

Ruan, J., Cai, Q., & Jin, S. (2021). Impact of COVID-19 and nationwide lockdowns on vegetable prices: Evidence from wholesale markets in China. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 103(5), 1574–1594. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1111/ajae.12211

Sunwoo, H. H., & Gujral, N. (2015). Chemical composition of eggs and eggs products. In P. Cheung & B. Mehta (Eds.), Handbook of Food Chemistry (eds, pp. 331–363). Springer. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-36605-5_28

Wang, Y., Chen, X., & Shi, L. (2023). COVID-19’s effect on the spatial integration of fish markets: Evidence from carp price in China. Aquaculture, 563. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aquaculture.2022.739017

Yu, X., Liu, C., Wang, H., & Feil, J. H. (2020). The impact of COVID-19 on food prices in China: evidence of four major food products from Beijing, Shandong and Hubei Provinces. China Agricultural Economic Review, 12(3), 445–458. https://doi.org/10.1108/CAER-04-2020-0054

Zahid, M. S., Qayyum, A., & Malik, W. S. (2007). Dynamics of wheat market integration in Northern Punjab, Pakistan. Pakistan Development Review, 46(4), 817–830. https://doi.org/10.30541/v46i4iipp.817-830

Zaini, A., Anwar, Sudjatmiko, D. P., & Suparmin. (2022). Spatial market integration for food price stabilization during the Covid 19 pandemic in West Nusa Tenggara, Indonesia: A case study of the cayenne pepper. IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science, 1107(1). https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/1107/1/012087

Downloads

Published

2025-12-30

Issue

Section

Reasearch Paper